Three years after the large-scale invasion by Vladimir Putin of a sovereign state, what has he won? A way to normalization with the United States and negotiations on Ukraine – without Ukrainians. Without Europeans either. Instead, Donald Trump sends his Secretary of State and National Security Advisor to Saudi Arabia, as well as the New York real estate magnate, Steve Witkoff, who quickly pivoted in the role of envoy to the Middle East. Meanwhile, Brussels is far from Riyadh. So why did the retirement general Keith Kellogg – did Trump’s regular hand on Ukraine – who goes with EU leaders instead of carrying out negotiations? We will examine what is at the heart of this potential agreement with Putin. We will also assess how far the European powers have progressed at the Monday emergency summit in Paris, convened in a hurry after JD Vance pronounced a warning to the allies at the Munich security conference this weekend. How much lever Europe and the Ukrainians have when the main security guarantor of the continent seems more inclined to speak in Moscow?

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