We came across a Haussier thesis On Calumet, Inc. (Clmt) on Twitter by Zerosumgame33. In this article, we will summarize the thesis of the Bulls on CLMT. The action of Calumet, Inc. (CLMT) was negotiated at $ 9.91 in April 11th. CLMT monitoring and p / e were 23.06 and 11.35 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.
A technician in a protective combination testing a variety of different lubricants and filters.
Calumet Specialty Products (CLMT) underwent a punishing withdrawal of 50%, mainly because of its leverage equity structure and fears of a recession weighing on already depressed margins, but ultimately temporary. A wave of sales was triggered by funds focused on events that came out after a catalyst by the Ministry of Energy (DOE), exacerbated by a lack of institutional support and nearly 10 million short-circuit shares. Despite this, the long -term bull thesis remains intact. The key engine is an inflection of imminent margin on the biodiesel market (BD), where the imbalance of the offer has become acute. Based on the EPA data in January, comics production fell by around 150 million gallons in a single month, pushing the total offer below the level of renewable volume in 2025 (RVO). With the D4 RIN bank likely to be exhausted in a few months, this opens the way to a clear recovery of the margins, because demand exceeds the supply.
The Montana Renewables (MRL), the Crumm Crown jewel, is in a unique position. Unlike peers that always run soy oil, MRL uses a 50/50 more profitable mixture of corn oil and tallow, supporting better margins. The real catalyst is the next RVO 2026-2028, which should be published around August or September. While the current RVO has been settled too low by the Biden administration (creating an overhang of margin), a Trump administration is likely to revise this increase according to the new renewable diesel capacity which is put online. Once this happens, the margins could return to $ 2.00 / GAL, putting MRL at $ 250 million EBITDA and CLMT at an execution rate of $ 500 million on an EV Pro Form of $ 2.9 billion – an exceptionally cheap assessment at $ 10 / action. Even in the more conservative hypotheses, the EBITDA of MRL would support a robust evaluation. Warburg’s basic affair targets an EV outing of $ 3.3 billion at the start of 2028, resulting in a CLMT share price of $ 40.
Calumet, Inc. (CLMT) does not appear on our list of 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds. According to our database, 21 hedge fund portfolios held CLMT at the end of the fourth quarter which was 9 in the previous quarter. Although we recognize the risk and potential of CLMT as an investment, our conviction lies in the conviction that certain AI actions are more promising to provide higher yields and do it within a shorter period. If you are looking for a more promising stock of AI than clmt but which is negotiated within 5 times its income, consult our report on the Stock ai the cheapest.
