Millions of Canadians are expected to vote today in a hinge election that will lead the country through a trade battle with the United States.
The 36 -day campaign was simply remarkable for the main contenders: Liberal chief Mark Carney and the conservative chief Pierre Hairyvre.
Barely a few months ago, the polls suggested that Hairyvre was almost guaranteed to take the majority government that he had been waiting for a long time, after the Canadians had former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
Then came the resignation of Trudeau in early January, the trade war of the American president Donald Trump and the persistent beards of making Canada on the 51st state – overthrowing the political scenario.
Why was my vote imported? Majority government? Minority? And what is the “first post”? We call on experts to describe what you need to know so that you can maximize your voting power this federal election.
With Trump’s announcement, a break, then reinstalling devastating prices on Canadian goods, the campaign has largely become a breed on which is the best to orient Canada thanks to global uncertainty.
While the global margin between the two main parts has shrunk in the final section, the polls suggest that the race is the liberal party to lose.
According to The CBC survey trackerLiberals maintain an advantage in Ontario and Quebec rich in seats, as well as British Columbia and Atlantic Canada, and are favored to gain the most seats.
But it is far from being concluded and that the leaders and their teams have repeated throughout the campaign: the only survey that counts is the day of the ballot.
Carney focuses on Trump
Carney has tried to define itself as a stable mature leader who is the best to treat the unpredictable president and map a new economic and security relationship.
While crisscrossing the country, the freshly struck leader underlined his time as governor of the Bank of Canada during the global financial crisis of 2008 and the chief of the Bank of England during the years of Brexit as proof that the Canadians should trust him to direct the economy of the country at the turbulent time.
In one of its most repeated campaign speeches lines, Carney argued that “Trump tries to break us so that America can own us”.
“Well, that will never happen,” he frequently told crowds that have gathered to hear the political beginner speak.

Carney has had a 2025 whirlwind so far. He easily won the liberal management on March 9 and took an oath as a Prime Minister barely nine days before triggering an election.
Carney’s greatest weakness in the countryside must have been his French Tremblant, which he ranked six out of 10, but he came out of the French debate and an always important interview with the popular show Everyone talks about it Relatively unscathed.
His campaign hit a few hooks. He was accused last week of not having told all the truth about his conversation with Trump after he revealed that the president raised Canada becoming the 51st state of the appeal. Carney had declared immediately after the appeal that Trump respected Canada’s sovereignty.
We do not know if voters will see this in this way, or if it will have an impact on their choice.
The last day of the campaign is generally filled with excitement while the games try to create a final momentum and get their message across. On Sunday, however, was twisted by the tragedy, after a car list during a Filipino Street Festival in Vancouver which left 11 dead and more than 20 injured.
The dark end of the campaign has seen most of the managers cancel events or move in their schedules to offer condolences to families.
While Carney’s final thrust was attenuated, he struck disputed areas, notably Saskatoon and Edmonton, a sign that his campaign is confident before the vote on Monday.
Hairy pushed to change
Hairyvre argued that the elections are summed up a word: change.
Over the past five weeks, the curator has argued that Carney is an extension of the last 10 years of liberal rule, regularly pointing Carney’s position as Trudeau economic advisor as proof.
“After the lost liberal decade of the rise of crime, chaos, drugs and troubles, we cannot risk a fourth liberal term. We must reverse the policies that put us in this mess,” he said on Sunday during a rally wrapped in Oakville, Ontario.
Hairyvre spent part of last week gathering its base with stops in relatively safe regions in Alberta and Saskatchewan.

He then turned to the region of the Grand Toronto, where to win seats is the key to a conservative victory. His last stop on Sunday was in his conduct in Carleton Ottawa, which the Liberals targeted.
Hairyre represents conduct since 2004 and took the reins of the conservative party in 2022. Throughout the campaign, he turned to his own story, born of a teenage mother and adopted by teachers, as an example of what is possible in this country while arguing that the “promise” of Canada has been broken.
Known for his style of combative policy, Hairyvre has tried to offer a quieter – more smiling – image in recent times. He managed to attract unprecedented levels of support since the victory of Stephen Harper in 2011, but looked at the advance of more than 20 points from his party in the surveys sheltered from NDP, Bloc and the Green Voters turn to the Liberals of Carney.
Hairy was confronted with criticisms that he was too slow to rotate questions from the ballot boxes on which he wanted to campaign – carbon tax, the affordability and unpopularity of Trudeau – in the Trump trade war and relaunched Canadian patriotism.
He defended his approach, arguing that Canadians share his concerns about the housing crisis and illegal drugs.
“I will not stop talking about these problems which predate Donald Trump and who will survive Donald Trump if we do not install them supported.
Singh says he is fighting for Canadians
With the campaign framed so closely around Trump, the other two main parts sometimes found themselves outside the conversation.
Voters who kicked the Liberals, the NPD and the Bloc Québécois could undergo significant losses of seats on Monday evening, according to the Poll Tracker.

Singh, who was heading for his third campaign as a leader, has been rekindled by questions about the bad surveys of the NDP and his future since the start of the campaign.
He rejected, arguing that the sending of NPD deputies to the House of Commons to a minority government will keep the next government in check and “will improve the lives of people”.
Friday, he maintained his decision not to trigger a federal election earlier, even after tearing increasing the supply and confidence agreement He had signed with the Liberals of Trudeau.
“I could not endure the idea of Pierre Hairyvre and the Conservatives forming a majority government,” said Singh.
“I knew it was going to be bad because of their cuts, because of the division, because of the things they wanted.”
Singh quickly underlines that his agreement with Trudeau prompted the liberals to call on pharmacares and dental care programs, politicians that new Democrats have been looking for for years.
Singh spent the last days of the campaign to delight the support of Orange in the border city of Windsor, Ontario, then in British Columbia in British Columbia while the party hopes to maintain the official status of the party.
The leader of the block expresses his best party for Quebec
The leader of the Quebec Bloc, Yves-François Blanchet, also worked to hold the balance of powers in the house, his province of origin is once again an important battlefield to decide on the final result. The separatist party only manages candidates in Quebec and its mandate has long been to act as a voice for Quebecers in Ottawa.
During the last days of the campaign, Blanchet courted the controversy when he described his role as serving in a “foreign parliament” and called Canada “an artificial country with very little sense”.
“This nation is not mine,” he said.

The polls suggest that the Green Party may be destroyed by Canada’s electoral card, but Co-Leader Elizabeth May said that she hoped that the Greens could not only hold their two seats in the House of Commons, but grow up.
The first results should flow from the Atlantic provinces just after 7 p.m. and 7:30 p.m. HE. The majority of votes will be counted after 9:30 p.m., including Ontario and Quebec. The last slice of votes will come from British Columbia and the Yukon from 10 p.m. he.
You can check When your region’s polling stations close here.
According to the Canada elections, around 7.3 million Canadians have already voted in advance.
You can look at the CBC’s special electoral coverage from 6.30 p.m. he.