An investor at the start of the stadium sparked a debate on LinkedIn to a striking comparison of India’s economic trajectory to China. Pushkar Singh, co-founder of Tremis Capital, wrote: “In 2024, the Indian economy, at 3.9 billions of dollars, was about a fifth of the 18.3 billions of dollars in China. Indian economy in 2050 would be comparable to China in 2025.”
Singh underlined the vast gap between the two nations and raised urgent questions on the way from India to economic parity.
Despite this planned economic parity, Singh stressed that India in 2050 will be very different from today’s China. “We will not have clean air and rivers like China. China has cleaned its air quality in 20 years, but India will not be able to do the same,” he said.
He also pointed out that Indian cities would remain “chaotic, unforeseen and dirty, unlike those of China and futuristic”.
Singh also noted that Indian infrastructure, including high -speed rail, will not correspond to the current progress of China. “Our physical infra and our high-speed trains will not be comparable to today’s China,” he said. He also rejected the possibility that India will become a world leader in manufacturing like China, adding: “We will not be the world factory and the manufacturing center like China.”
However, Singh has highlighted the areas where India should correspond or even exceed China. “Our average life expectancy in 2045 would be more than that of China today,” he predicted. He also said that India’s literacy rates and school levels will be comparable to that of China in the middle of the century.
In terms of human development indicators (HDI), SINGH provides for improvements in infant mortality, poverty reduction and inequalities, bringing India closer to the current levels of China.
Singh stressed that the societal structure of India would remain distinct from China. “Our society would be freer and more democratic than that of China,” he said. Unlike Chinese growth focused on manufacturing, Singh believes that India’s economic rise will be directed by the service sector.
“GDP per capita is a development indicator. Two countries can be very different, such as China in 2025 and India in 2050, despite similar GDP. Similar economic growth can lead to different development standards,” he explained.
While India can reach economic figures comparable to China in 2025, Singh clearly indicates that the country will follow a different trajectory, shaped by its own unique strengths and challenges.
